Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +20 (88-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Wedel | 30 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| S. Morgan | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| I. Koggu | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Gant | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Lance | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Nutt | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Farmer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Handy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 38 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| M. Thompson | 36 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Williams | 31 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 29 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Ryan | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Baran | 19 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Capocci | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Melchior | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Steger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter