Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.