Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Easley | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Thomas | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 27 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| T. Holloway | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Carter | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. George | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 12 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Long | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sanders | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 36 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Gordon | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 25 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Varnado | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| P. Turner | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Benock | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Augustus | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter