Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hanson | 31 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Silva | 30 | 4-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -2 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| V. Oliver | 24 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Payne | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Clark | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Portz | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Calegari | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Boone | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Huffman | 36 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. McAndrew | 32 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Friske | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Skrelja | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Mullery | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Sullivan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. MacDonald | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Taylor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter