Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 31 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Tucker | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 19 | - |
| R. Holmes | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelley | 21 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Walberg | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Clardy | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Carr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Tucker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 33 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 14 | - |
| M. Davis | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Durham | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Friesen | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Howard | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Zamora | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter