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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 31 3-8 3-6 5-6 3 1 1 0 0 14 11 -
R. Tucker 28 6-9 1-2 11-12 5 2 4 0 7 24 19 -
R. Holmes 27 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 2 2 0 2 3 6 -
T. Shelley 21 8-16 2-8 2-2 0 2 1 1 5 20 3 -
M. Thomas 19 5-7 0-0 4-7 4 2 0 2 1 14 14 -
J. Walberg 18 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
M. Hornbuckle 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
G. Clardy 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
J. Reed 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Carr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Taylor 33 9-18 3-7 9-9 2 3 1 0 4 30 14 -
M. Davis 30 4-8 0-0 9-10 1 2 1 0 2 17 11 -
C. Durham 25 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 3 3 0 2 6 5 -
P. Friesen 23 1-6 1-3 3-4 4 5 0 0 1 6 8 -
B. Howard 21 1-4 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Zamora 21 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 0 0 7 10 -
J. Hennessy 17 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
B. Johnson 17 5-6 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 13 10 -
D. Mbunga 13 3-7 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 0 1 8 8 -

* = starter