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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 1.2% 98.8% -
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% -
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.5 (4.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +29 (80-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 37 7-9 2-3 0-1 5 5 1 1 3 16 16 -
L. Colbert 29 3-10 1-3 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 9 2 -
M. Allen 20 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. Brooks 20 2-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
P. Kohlheim 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Hardy 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 -
A. McMillan 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 5 1 -
S. Lukasiak 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 4 -2 -
E. Jefferson 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Gilbert 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
T. Cohn 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. DiBenedetto 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 29 3-7 2-6 2-3 3 7 0 0 1 10 12 -
R. Morgan 26 8-11 0-1 8-8 7 1 0 2 3 24 20 -
K. Lucas 22 2-5 0-0 0-2 0 8 4 0 2 4 9 -
M. Gray 21 5-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 1 2 11 9 -
T. Walton 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 2 8 -
C. Allen 20 3-6 2-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 10 4 -
D. Summers 17 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
G. Suton 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
D. Naymick 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
T. Herzog 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
I. Dahlman 4 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
I. Ibok 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Kebler 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter