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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 81.7% 18.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ—
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.4 โœ— (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 66.8% 33.2% - โœ—

Actual: Harvard Crimson +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 37 5-17 0-2 3-3 6 2 1 0 2 13 3 -
R. Coleman 36 5-9 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
D. Sims 29 4-17 1-5 3-4 8 0 0 3 2 12 4 -
E. Udoh 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 0 2 6 -
K. Grady 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Z. Gibson 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 4 6 -
A. Wright 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
J. Smith 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
C.J. Lee 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Morris 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Magnarelli 37 5-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 2 1 11 13 -
J. Lin 35 4-13 1-6 0-0 6 5 1 0 2 9 6 -
D. Housman 35 2-6 1-2 3-4 6 2 3 0 2 8 11 -
E. Harris 34 3-9 0-0 3-4 8 5 0 3 2 9 14 -
A. Pusar 25 5-11 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. McGeary 22 4-8 3-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 3 -
B. Unger 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T.J. Carey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter