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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 93.3% 6.7% -
Bradley-Terry 72.9% 27.1% -
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.8 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.0% 5.0% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 37 5-17 0-2 3-3 6 2 1 0 2 13 3 -
R. Coleman 36 5-9 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 12 9 -
D. Sims 29 4-17 1-5 3-4 8 0 0 3 2 12 4 -
E. Udoh 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 0 2 6 -
K. Grady 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Z. Gibson 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 4 6 -
A. Wright 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
J. Smith 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
C.J. Lee 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Morris 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Magnarelli 37 5-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 2 1 11 13 -
J. Lin 35 4-13 1-6 0-0 6 5 1 0 2 9 6 -
D. Housman 35 2-6 1-2 3-4 6 2 3 0 2 8 11 -
E. Harris 34 3-9 0-0 3-4 8 5 0 3 2 9 14 -
A. Pusar 25 5-11 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. McGeary 22 4-8 3-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 3 -
B. Unger 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T.J. Carey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter