Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard | 34 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| W. Ellington | 30 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| T. Lawson | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Green | 24 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Frasor | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 39 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | - |
| R. Bradley | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| P. Patterson | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Porter | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Coury | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Harris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Legion | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter