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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (22.5 off)

Actual: American University Eagles -15 (68-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene 40 6-11 6-10 3-4 1 5 2 0 1 21 17 -
R. Barbosa 34 5-11 0-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 14 9 -
D. Proctor 31 5-8 0-0 4-5 1 1 2 0 1 14 9 -
B. Hodges 28 3-9 3-6 10-11 3 5 0 0 1 19 17 -
C. Johnson 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 3 6 8 -
J. Fry 20 2-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
M. Spadafora 20 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
U. Eshietedoho 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 40 10-12 3-4 5-7 4 5 2 0 4 28 23 -
B. Simon 34 4-11 3-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 13 6 -
T. Lay 28 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
G. Carr 24 4-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 0 -
F. Borden 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Nichols 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 3 0 7 11 -
B. Gilmore 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Motnii 9 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Guibunda 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
N. Hendra 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Penny 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter