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2007-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 40 7-13 4-7 5-10 4 5 0 1 0 23 20 -
M. Downs 37 5-10 2-5 2-2 11 2 0 0 0 14 17 -
D. Pendergraft 36 3-13 3-9 1-2 5 4 1 1 2 10 6 -
M. Bouldin 35 5-10 3-5 6-9 5 2 0 0 3 19 13 -
R. Sacre 26 4-4 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
A. Kuso 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
A. Daye 10 0-3 0-1 5-6 4 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
L. Gurganious 4 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 35 4-10 0-0 7-9 9 2 0 0 2 15 14 -
A.J. Price 31 7-16 3-6 5-7 3 6 2 0 2 22 15 -
J. Dyson 30 5-15 5-10 4-6 4 2 0 0 3 19 7 -
S. Robinson 26 4-9 0-3 3-4 8 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
H. Thabeet 23 1-2 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 3 0 6 12 -
D. Wiggins 22 2-9 0-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
C. Austrie 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
C. Kelly 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Edwards 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Mandeldove 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter