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2007-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 95.6% 4.4% -
Bradley-Terry 83.6% 16.4% -
Margin 89.3% 10.7% -11.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (50-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 40 5-12 2-8 6-7 1 2 3 0 0 18 12 -
C. Higgins 32 3-7 0-2 1-3 3 5 0 0 2 7 6 -
R. Roby 31 7-9 3-5 4-5 7 3 3 1 2 21 24 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 1 2 7 -
X. Silas 29 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
L. Knutson 20 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
C. Patterson 9 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Thorne II 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Anderson 39 3-9 0-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 6 1 -
E. Washington 39 5-12 0-1 1-3 6 3 1 0 4 11 5 -
A. Henke 34 4-5 4-5 6-10 2 0 0 1 1 18 15 -
K. Maren 28 4-8 1-3 0-3 7 1 1 1 1 9 10 -
M. Holland 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Johnson 23 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 3 4 1 -
E. Kenzik 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Brooks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. El-Amin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter