Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -6 (87-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Holmes | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Walberg | 34 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| M. Thomas | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Thompson | 30 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Shelley | 28 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| R. Tucker | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Clardy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Carr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 39 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Geiser | 38 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Landry | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| N. Larson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sharp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter