Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -22 (56-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 28 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Wade | 28 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| K. Davis | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Lamb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Diederichs | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Deric | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Ziri | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Walker | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Counts | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Q. Turner | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Craig | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sutton | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Maynard | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Sweezy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Kanne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter