Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mendez | 37 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Jones | 36 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Chase | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Goldston | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| O. Krubally | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Lott | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Moynihan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ali | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 37 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Hardy | 35 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. McMillan | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Colbert | 31 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Allen | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Lukasiak | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Jefferson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Brooks | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Gilbert | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Cohn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter