Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 35 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| W. Ellington | 32 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| B. Frasor | 29 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| D. Thompson | 20 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lighty | 40 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Butler | 40 | 6-22 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Diebler | 32 | 7-16 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| O. Hunter | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| K. Koufos | 27 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| E. Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter