Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +9 (57-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marek | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Payne | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Roberts | 28 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Sorensen | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| T. Quinney | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Griego | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Clifford | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Livi | 11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| N. Adepoju | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Josserand | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Crum | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| D. Prentice | 24 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 22 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Martinez | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Gary | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Pegues | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Harris | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Wills | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter