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2007-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.6 (25.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 40 9-17 5-8 5-6 8 5 0 1 2 28 23 -
S. Spears 35 6-12 0-0 2-4 13 0 0 0 2 14 13 -
B. Paris 26 2-8 0-2 1-3 1 5 1 0 1 5 3 -
T. Roche 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 6 -
R. Sanders 21 4-12 1-2 1-3 5 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
T. Blair 21 3-5 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 5 4 9 12 -
J. Oates 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
C. Raji 15 3-4 1-1 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 8 11 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman 36 2-10 1-5 1-2 5 2 0 2 1 6 4 -
M. Harris 29 7-17 2-6 3-6 4 2 4 0 1 19 11 -
K. Grady 27 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 8 9 -
D. Sims 25 5-12 2-4 4-5 6 0 0 2 1 16 11 -
E. Udoh 23 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 3 2 5 6 -
A. Wright 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Z. Gibson 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
K. Morris 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
C.J. Lee 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Shepherd 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter