Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Degand | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Grant | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Hickson | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Horner | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Fells | 23 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| B. Costner | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. McCauley | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 28 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| G. Suton | 27 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| R. Morgan | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Walton | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Naymick | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Ibok | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Summers | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Herzog | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter