Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hannah | 34 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 11-12 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 24 | - |
| K. Lawrence | 33 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 29 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Carroll | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Butterfield | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Lyons | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Horton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J.T. Tiller | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| V. Volkus | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Safford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Weems | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Beverley | 32 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| G. Ervin | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Thomas | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D. Townes | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| S. Welsh | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Hill | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Washington | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Britt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Cox | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter