Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (34.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +42 (94-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 37 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -2 | - |
| C. Moore | 35 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Baran | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 24 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Ryan | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Melchior | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Day | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diane | 29 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| S. Singletary | 27 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Jones | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Joseph | 18 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Harris | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Baker | 16 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Scott | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Tucker | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Burns | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter