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2007-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Log Adjusted 80.0% 20.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Krabbenhoft 36 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 2 1 1 4 4 -
M. Flowers 32 3-9 0-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
T. Hughes 26 4-13 1-4 3-6 4 3 2 0 3 12 5 -
M. Landry 25 3-9 1-1 0-1 6 2 1 0 3 7 4 -
B. Butch 20 5-12 0-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 11 2 -
J. Bohannon 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Leuer 19 5-11 1-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
K. Gullikson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
G. Stiemsma 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Valentyn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jarmusz 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Nankivil 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 34 3-11 0-2 3-4 7 7 3 2 2 9 15 -
K. Singler 31 4-7 2-4 3-4 6 1 1 0 3 13 11 -
J. Scheyer 28 2-7 0-2 6-6 9 2 0 0 1 10 13 -
G. Paulus 28 6-13 4-7 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 18 9 -
G. Henderson 22 3-8 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 1 1 11 10 -
T. King 20 5-10 5-9 0-1 5 0 2 1 0 15 13 -
N. Smith 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 6 1 -
L. Thomas 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Zoubek 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
D. McClure 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davidson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter