Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. McKenzie | 26 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 26 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Tollackson | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Coleman | 23 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 22 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Nolen | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Payton | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Williams | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| I. Swann | 35 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Rich | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Mims | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| U. Echefu | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Reid | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| C. Breeden | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Vaughn | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Alabi | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter