Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +34 (75-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Keeler | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Whiten | 28 | 4-16 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Hanson | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Vance | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Manley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Higgins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| T. Abbott | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Shipp | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| D. Glasser | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Ayres | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Polk | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. McMillan | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Boateng | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Atuahene | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Woods | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter