Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 35 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Sikma | 33 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Stohl | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Watson | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Knutson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Thompson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tarver | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Schaftenaar | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| S. Carter | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| R. Claitt | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Tarver | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Jones | 21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Haynes | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5 | - |
| C. Hampton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Stovall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter