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2007-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 5.2% 94.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: USC Trojans +25 (70-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Falker 36 6-9 0-0 5-6 12 0 1 0 2 17 19 -
B. Mullins 31 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 5 6 -
M. Shaw 30 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 0 3 0 3 6 0 -
T. Boyle 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 1 -
T. Green 24 3-9 1-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 1 8 3 -
J. Bone 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 2 0 -
B. Wood 16 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Fay 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Coopwood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Armstrong 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Cornelius 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 32 6-9 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 14 9 -
D. Hackett 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 10 1 0 3 2 9 -
T. Gibson 30 3-6 0-0 4-5 9 1 0 1 4 10 11 -
O.J. Mayo 28 5-7 3-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 13 5 -
D. Jefferson 23 6-7 0-0 8-11 5 0 2 0 3 20 17 -
A. Johnson 23 1-3 0-0 1-3 1 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
K. Cunningham 17 2-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Wilkinson 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
R. Cromwell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
T. Green 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wetherell 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter