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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles NJIT Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 95.7% 4.3% - โœ“
Margin 98.0% 2.0% -21.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 93.2% 6.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“

Actual: NJIT Highlanders -23 (50-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 31 4-8 1-1 1-3 2 6 0 0 1 10 9 -
G. Carr 28 5-13 5-9 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 15 7 -
F. Borden 24 4-7 0-2 2-2 4 0 5 1 1 10 12 -
B. Gilmore 21 2-5 1-3 3-3 2 3 1 0 1 8 8 -
T. Lay 19 4-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
J. Nichols 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
C. Motnii 15 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
B. Simon 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
N. Hendra 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -5 -
R. Penny 9 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Luptak 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Guibunda 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
F. Markusovic 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

NJIT Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stonkus 30 5-7 0-0 5-8 4 0 0 1 5 15 8 -
J. Wilson 28 1-4 0-1 0-2 1 3 0 1 5 2 -2 -
K. Peters 27 4-6 3-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 13 9 -
T. Epps 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Garris 22 3-10 0-4 0-0 1 1 2 2 1 6 1 -
K. Edwards 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. Magnus 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
R. Jefferson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
P. Skema 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter