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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (9.5 off)

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Friesen 31 4-8 0-2 8-9 2 1 1 0 1 16 11 -
D. Mbunga 29 6-8 0-0 5-8 9 0 0 2 2 17 18 -
J. Hennessy 25 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 1 2 5 6 -
C. Durham 25 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -8 -
B. Howard 24 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
C. Taylor 22 3-8 2-3 5-5 6 1 0 1 6 13 7 -
M. Davis 16 1-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
B. Johnson 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 2 4 -
A. Zamora 13 0-3 0-1 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harris 33 6-13 2-5 15-18 8 1 0 0 2 29 23 -
I. Elliott 32 4-10 3-4 0-0 7 2 1 3 0 11 14 -
J. Joyner 27 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Powell 26 6-13 2-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 15 3 -
N. Pajevic 26 5-9 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 12 10 -
D.J. Posley 20 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 2 1 -
P. Roemer 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 1 3 -
B. Gibb 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
S. Phippen 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter