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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 18.5% 81.5% -
Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Providence Friars +23 (93-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 32 2-6 1-1 9-11 3 4 2 0 4 14 13 -
J. Lin 32 3-8 2-5 1-2 4 3 2 1 3 9 8 -
A. Pusar 29 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 6 5 -
E. Harris 27 3-4 0-0 7-10 1 2 1 0 3 13 10 -
P. Magnarelli 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 8 6 -
D. McGeary 20 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 5 -
A. Demuyakor 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
T.J. Carey 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Miller 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Xavier 31 10-15 7-11 0-0 3 3 4 1 2 27 21 -
D. Williams 30 5-10 3-6 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 15 9 -
B. McKenzie 27 7-10 4-7 2-2 7 3 2 0 0 20 22 -
G. McDermott 25 2-7 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 6 6 0 -
W. Efejuku 21 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 4 0 0 1 4 7 -
J. Peterson 17 5-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 0 0 11 9 -
R. Hall 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
M. Brooks 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. Burch 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Kellogg 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Kale 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Hanke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter