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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.0 (19.0 off)
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kilpatrick 26 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
M. Stucki 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -
A. Morgan 24 3-6 0-1 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
L. Steijn 23 2-6 0-0 4-5 3 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
C. Tatum 22 6-14 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 14 2 -
L. Kinghorn 17 3-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 8 8 -
S. Anderson 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. O'Brien 13 2-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
S. Maye 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Taylor 10 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
D. Monroe 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Carson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl 32 3-7 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 9 4 -
S. Watson 29 4-6 2-4 8-8 6 3 0 0 2 18 19 -
N. Raivio 27 6-9 3-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 15 13 -
R. Smeulders 22 4-8 1-2 4-4 8 1 0 0 0 13 14 -
J. Hannibal 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
L. Sikma 19 3-5 1-2 3-4 9 2 1 1 2 10 16 -
E. Niedermeyer 19 0-3 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
W. Thompson 18 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
K. Knutson 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
S. Moser 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Carter 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter