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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 84.4% 15.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (21.0 off)

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Alexander 36 8-14 3-6 0-0 9 2 3 0 4 19 15 -
E. Bell 35 8-12 1-2 1-2 3 11 3 0 3 18 20 -
M. Kingsley 30 6-8 0-0 4-4 7 1 1 0 2 16 15 -
E. Williams 28 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
N. Shaw 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
G. Fonzie 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
K. Jacobs 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Akpan 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
S. Weaver 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Rogers 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Pele 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Falke 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Grafel 36 5-10 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 5 1 11 11 -
D. Anderson 32 2-10 0-2 2-2 5 0 2 0 4 6 -1 -
J. Nichols 24 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -3 -
S. Logan 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 7 3 -
J. Landers 18 1-2 0-1 3-6 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
M. Patton 16 3-5 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
S. Smith 15 1-1 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
R. Paradise 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Ervin 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
C. Yelder 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Hart 5 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Rand 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Kelley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter