Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Fields | 33 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Kemp | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. McGee | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| M. Cooke | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Ellis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 38 | 6-20 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| M. Shaw | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Terry | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Darger | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Bailey | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Roberson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter