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East Tennessee State Buccaneers 89
@
UNC Asheville Bulldogs 87
2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% - ✓
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% - ✓

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pigram 35 0-9 0-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 0 1 -
A. Reed 35 9-19 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 5 18 4 -
M. Smith 29 3-7 0-0 1-4 10 2 1 2 2 7 13 -
J. Davis 26 3-6 0-1 4-6 2 6 2 1 3 10 12 -
K. Swader 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
T. Strong 24 9-13 5-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 23 13 -
K. Tiggs 23 7-14 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 1 2 20 11 -
D. Twilley 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
B. Mishler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Hubbard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Augst 41 5-11 1-5 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 11 7 -
K.J. Garland 40 8-19 5-11 0-0 5 6 0 0 6 21 7 -
V. James 32 6-8 0-0 4-5 6 3 1 1 6 16 13 -
S. Smith 29 3-10 3-6 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
K. George 26 6-7 0-0 1-3 9 4 0 8 2 13 25 -
B. Smithson 25 5-9 2-4 2-3 2 1 1 1 2 14 8 -
J. Williams 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 1 3 -
G. Moles 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 0 4 -

* = starter