Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fall | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Walker | 27 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Killen | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Roberts | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Malone | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | - |
| P. Dia | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Harp | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Spencer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Ritter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Rhodes | 8 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Kwiatkowski | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 28 | 10-12 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Wright | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Binnie | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Warren | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Searcy | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Fox | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Nourse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Laing | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter