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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (3.4 off)
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lucas 34 3-9 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
J. Dominguez 31 3-8 0-4 2-2 2 3 4 0 2 8 7 -
T. Mara 29 3-12 2-5 2-2 8 4 1 1 2 10 10 -
D. Huff 29 3-3 1-1 3-3 6 1 1 0 3 10 12 -
S. Morrison 18 5-6 0-0 3-9 5 1 0 0 1 13 12 -
J. Thomas 14 2-3 0-0 6-10 4 1 1 0 2 10 11 -
A. Murray 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
M. Polis 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J.R. Moore 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
B. Curtis 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Coston 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Oliver 37 5-12 1-2 8-8 6 0 1 0 2 19 12 -
K. Brucculeri 35 7-9 4-6 8-12 7 1 0 0 0 26 25 -
M. Payne 34 5-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 10 9 -
S. Hanson 24 2-5 2-3 2-2 1 6 0 0 1 8 9 -
R. Silva 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 5 2 -
D. Carter 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Portz 10 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Lopez-Low 9 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Calegari 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
N. Clark 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Toth 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter