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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% -
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% -
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% -
Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 38 6-11 1-3 1-3 1 7 4 0 4 14 11 -
M. Bauscher 36 4-10 1-5 2-5 0 3 2 0 1 11 5 -
R. Larry 33 5-10 0-1 4-6 10 1 1 0 3 14 13 -
T. Tiedeman 28 5-11 2-4 5-7 2 1 1 0 1 17 9 -
M. Nelson 27 5-10 0-0 0-1 9 3 0 1 1 10 12 -
M. Sanchez 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
A. Garner 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
K. Cunningham 13 4-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 9 8 -
J. Greene 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
P. Noonan 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
S. Rouse 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marek 41 3-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 7 7 -
T. Sorensen 40 4-6 0-0 2-6 10 1 1 1 3 10 14 -
G. Payne 38 11-20 0-0 6-7 9 2 2 1 2 28 20 -
N. Livi 25 3-7 2-4 0-2 0 3 0 0 2 8 2 -
T. Quinney 24 2-3 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
N. Adepoju 24 2-9 0-5 4-5 5 2 1 0 6 8 1 -
R. Roberts 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 0 4 -
L. Higbee 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Clifford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
O. Griego 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
M. Josserand 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Baker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter