Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 35 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Frasor | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Thompson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Lawson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tavernari | 38 | 6-20 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| B. Murdock | 37 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 36 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| S. Burgess | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Cummard | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Collinsworth | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Fredette | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Ivanovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Rose | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Martineau | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter