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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: BYU Cougars -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Ellington 35 6-15 1-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 15 3 -
T. Hansbrough 34 6-11 0-0 9-9 8 1 1 0 3 21 17 -
M. Ginyard 30 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
B. Frasor 29 0-4 0-2 1-3 5 2 1 0 1 1 4 -
D. Green 21 4-11 1-4 5-6 2 1 3 2 0 14 11 -
D. Thompson 20 3-8 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 7 -1 -
A. Stepheson 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 0 3 13 -
Q. Thomas 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
T. Lawson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Graves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tavernari 38 6-20 6-16 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 18 3 -
B. Murdock 37 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
T. Plaisted 36 10-20 0-0 4-6 17 2 0 1 4 24 20 -
S. Burgess 34 3-6 1-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 9 5 -
L. Cummard 23 5-11 0-2 0-0 8 1 1 0 6 10 3 -
C. Collinsworth 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 3 -
J. Fredette 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Miles 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Loyd Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Ivanovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Martineau 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter