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Tennessee Volunteers 78
@
Texas Longhorns 97
2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✓ (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% - ✓

Actual: Texas Longhorns +19 (97-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 4-14 1-4 2-5 8 8 0 0 2 11 11 -
J. Smith 32 4-11 3-8 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 13 3 -
C. Lofton 27 5-10 4-8 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 18 9 -
D. Crews 21 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
J. Howell 20 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
R. Smith 20 3-6 2-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
W. Chism 19 3-8 1-3 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. Tabb 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Tatum 8 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
B. Williams 7 0-1 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin 40 7-14 4-8 5-6 4 8 2 0 6 23 17 -
A.J. Abrams 38 9-15 3-8 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 21 14 -
C. Atchley 37 9-11 2-3 2-4 11 0 0 1 2 22 21 -
J. Mason 31 6-8 1-1 8-11 2 5 1 0 1 21 20 -
D. James 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
A. Wangmene 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 2 3 -
D. Pittman 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
C. Chapman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter