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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Anderson 37 4-10 1-4 0-1 2 4 1 0 1 9 5 -
A. Henke 35 5-13 3-9 1-2 5 3 1 0 2 14 8 -
A. Johnson 33 5-9 2-2 7-11 4 2 1 0 0 19 17 -
E. Washington 31 3-6 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
K. Maren 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
E. Kenzik 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
T. Fow 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Holland 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. El-Amin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Merriex 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Martin 35 3-6 2-5 7-9 3 4 0 0 0 15 16 -
R. Staudacher 35 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
C. Rundles 34 5-13 3-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 13 4 -
J. Hasquet 32 4-9 0-2 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
A. Strait 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 3 7 -
B. Qvale 15 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
K. Sharp 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
G. Spurgetis 5 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter