Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 32 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 31 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Johnson | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Brown | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Kirby | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Ford | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Doran | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Willard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liddell | 37 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| K. Lisch | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Meyer | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Eberhardt | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Polk | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Eckerle | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Husak | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Knollmeyer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Relphorde | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter