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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 81.8% 18.2% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Friske 38 8-12 1-3 0-1 6 2 0 1 2 17 12 -
D. Huffman 37 3-9 2-7 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 10 7 -
C. Skrelja 35 1-3 0-0 2-3 6 3 1 1 6 4 6 -
M. McAndrew 35 5-9 5-7 3-4 8 5 1 0 2 18 21 -
P. Sullivan 32 5-7 3-5 6-6 2 3 1 0 2 19 16 -
A. Williams 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
M. MacDonald 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
C. Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Mullery 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 40 4-13 4-11 2-2 2 4 2 0 2 14 7 -
M. Thompson 40 5-12 3-5 1-2 1 9 3 0 2 14 13 -
S. Williams 37 9-13 1-2 1-1 4 2 4 0 0 20 17 -
J. Ryan 33 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 8 -
J. Okrzesik 29 3-11 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 8 3 -
M. Capocci 12 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 3 3 2 -
N. Baran 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
J. Melchior 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter