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2007-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 73.6% 26.4% -5.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Ogilvy 31 8-12 0-0 7-9 3 1 1 1 2 23 15 -
J. Beal 30 2-6 0-2 9-9 4 4 0 0 1 13 14 -
R. Neltner 28 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 5 0 0 3 8 5 -
S. Foster 28 9-14 4-7 0-0 7 0 2 0 3 22 14 -
A. Gordon 26 2-6 0-4 6-6 3 2 1 0 2 10 8 -
G. Drake 13 1-5 1-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
A. Metcalfe 12 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
D. McClellan 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Bell 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Walker 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 36 8-18 4-10 3-3 6 6 3 0 7 23 13 -
J. Crouch 34 3-11 3-10 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 9 -1 -
A. Warren 27 7-12 4-8 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 18 8 -
M. Salley 27 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
T. Wilson 25 4-7 1-2 0-1 6 3 0 0 2 9 9 -
D. Collins 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 5 7 -
T. Cole-Scott 12 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
S. Maniscalco 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
W. Egolf 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
S. Singh 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter