Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Realph | 0 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Roper | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K. Morrissy | 0 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Muse | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Lewis | 0 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Brien | 0 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Walker | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Davenport | 0 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Lovingood | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| G. Hugelier | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter