Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 31 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Slack | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Dyer | 25 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Richardson | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Holtz | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Holloway | 17 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Vandello | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Rubin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Gordon | 39 | 11-18 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 17 | - |
| J. Ellis | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Crawford | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D.J. White | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. Stemler | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Bassett | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Holman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. McGee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Taber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter