Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.