๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2007-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% +5.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (79-77). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wise 39 11-19 5-9 6-7 4 3 0 0 2 33 19 -
R.L. Horton 34 6-14 2-4 8-10 1 3 0 0 2 22 10 -
S. Stone 27 1-4 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 0 3 8 4 -
C. Beasley 27 1-7 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -
G. Bain 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 2 2 2 11 -
A. Stephens 21 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
C. Craft 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
D. Dotson 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mykal Riley 36 6-13 1-5 2-2 3 1 4 1 2 15 9 -
Richard Hendrix 36 7-12 0-0 6-11 11 2 1 3 0 20 25 -
Alonzo Gee 27 7-13 0-0 11-11 6 2 1 1 0 25 22 -
B. Hollinger 27 2-4 1-2 2-5 0 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Justin Knox 18 0-4 0-0 4-6 7 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
S. Hillman 18 3-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 1 2 8 3 -
M. Torrance 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Jemison 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Tubbs 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Y. Coleman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -

* = starter