Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 36 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 31 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Clark | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Spraggins | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Stephens | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Newbold | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Wesley | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Niang | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Bell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Formisano | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Foster | 29 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Gordon | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Beal | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| R. Neltner | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. McClellan | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Bell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Walker | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| G. Drake | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Duffy | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter