Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✗ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +14 (63-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 38 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 36 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Gordon | 35 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 33 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Turner | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Bailey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mullins | 37 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| M. Shaw | 36 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Boyle | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Falker | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| T. Green | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Bone | 16 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Fay | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Wood | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Cornelius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Coopwood | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Robinson | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Gibson | 0 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
| A. Davis | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
* = starter