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2007-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Florida Gators -14 (51-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Swann 35 2-8 2-5 2-2 5 8 0 0 2 8 11 -
J. Rich 35 8-13 0-0 4-5 11 0 0 0 4 20 14 -
T. Douglas 34 5-12 0-3 0-0 1 2 4 1 4 10 2 -
U. Echefu 29 3-6 0-3 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
R. Reid 26 2-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
R. Mims 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
C. Breeden 10 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Vaughn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. DeMercy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Hodge 31 5-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
J. Lucas 29 1-7 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -5 -
N. Calathes 28 3-9 0-3 1-2 1 4 1 0 1 7 3 -
A. Allen 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
C. Parsons 24 3-11 1-7 3-3 5 2 0 0 2 10 4 -
M. Speights 22 2-4 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 1 4 7 -
D. Werner 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
A. Tyus 14 3-5 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Mitchell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter