Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 35 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Gordon | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Johnson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| P. Turner | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Benock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Augustus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sanders | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| K. Bland | 31 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Fells | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Hunter | 27 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Awaji | 22 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Rodenberg | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Lauer | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Harris | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter